Housing Market Outlook | January 2024

 

Dataloft's January 2024 Housing Market Outlook with our Real Estate Economist, Julia Middleton, introduced by Rebecca Gill from the Dataloft by PriceHubble team.


Key take-outs


There are reasons to be cautiously optimistic for 2024. In particular, transaction activity should improve this year on 2023’s weaker levels.

  • Interest rates, in terms of the Bank of England bank rate, are expected to have peaked. Lower rates expected in second half of 2024 (consensus forecast of 4.7% by Q4 2024).

  • Longer term interest rates, off which fixed mortgage rates are priced, are already lower. Mortgage lenders are looking to increase lending volumes.

  • Residential prices were resilient in 2023, only falling marginally and expected to be largely stable over 2024.

  • Transaction activity expected to pick up over the course of the year as confidence tentatively starts to return to the market.

  • Rental growth has been unusually high over the last few years and while rents are expected to increase further, the forecast is for lower growth rates over 2024 and beyond.

  • There is likely to be some continued volatility in residential and economic data; some months will be better and some worse.

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Thought leadership

For further information on Briefing notes contact Sandra Jones
sandra@dataloft.co.uk